Market Snapshot

• Bitcoin (BTC) holds just below recent highs; shallow dips continue to attract sponsorship while macro tone steadies.
• Ethereum (ETH) trades in the mid-$4Ks; range behavior persists as gas metrics and L2 activity normalize.
• Solana (SOL) pivots under $250; repeated supply near that band caps momentum until a clean reclaim.
• Altcoins mixed — large-cap dominance elevated; smaller caps follow BTC volatility rather than lead.

Macro spillover: yesterday’s firmer producer-price tone favors patience — first reaction legs around U.S. data often fade within 10–15 minutes.

Key Themes Today

• ETF demand: Creations remain supportive; majors favored on dips over high-beta alts.
• Dominance watch: BTC leadership intact; rotation into alts more likely if BTC volatility compresses.
• Liquidity windows: EU open & US open provide cleaner entries/exits; avoid initiating into headline risk.
• Risk management: Prefer limit/stop-limit orders at structure to reduce slippage.

Cross-Asset Signals

• Slight USD firmness slows alt outperformance; BTC holds up better on dips.
• Stable real yields keep risk appetite intact unless equities wobble hard.
• Funding & OI: watch for signs of overcrowded longs before breakouts.

FXPremiere Strategy Notes

• Risk per idea: 0.25%–0.75%; daily cap: 1%–2%
• Scale out TP1/TP2; move stop to BE once risk is paid
• Avoid entries 15–30 min before scheduled data or policy remarks

Sentiment & Flows

• ETF creations steady; majors well-sponsored on dips
• Perps funding normalized after last week’s spike
• Options vol subdued — breakout risk building if catalysts hit