
Trading Psychology & Risk Discipline (2025)
November 3, 2025
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View yearly options →US30 Momentum Framework (2025): Wall Street Bias System
Trade the Dow Jones (US30) with a simple, repeatable edge: Opening Range (OR) + VWAP acceptance, break → retest entries, and TP1 / TP2 / Runner exits. Risk stays ~0.5% per setup; daily drawdown cap ~1.5%. Times in GMT.
US30 Momentum Framework (2025): Wall Street Bias System
Quick Summaries
EN: Wait for acceptance at NY open, trade the retest, TP1 early → SL to BE; keep runner small.
简体中文: 等待纽约开盘后“确认接受”,做回测入场;TP1 先落袋、止损移保本,小仓 Runner。
繁體中文: 等紐約開盤後「確認接受」,做回測進場;TP1 先收、移保本,小倉續跑。
Singlish: NY open: accept first, then retest. TP1, go BE, tiny runner.
Session Structure (GMT)
Times shown in GMT. Confirm DST changes when applicable.
Trigger Logic (Break → Retest)
- Frame Value: Plot session VWAP + OR; mark prior day H/L.
- Acceptance: Candle bodies close & hold above/below VWAP/OR edge.
- Retest: Pullback into the broken level/VWAP band; look for wick rejection & body close with trend.
- Entry: HL (long) / LH (short) on retest; SL beyond structure (not fixed points).
Signal Templates (Examples)
LONG US30
Entry: retest of OR high with VWAP hold
TP1: prior impulse high • TP2: next HTF level • Runner: trail under HLs/VWAP
SHORT US30
Entry: failure & reclaim below OR/VWAP → sell retest
TP1: OR mid • TP2: OR low/HTF demand • Runner: trail above LHs/VWAP
Illustrative only; live entries/levels are posted inside FXPremiere channels.
Trend Day
- VWAP supports trend; acceptance persists.
- Add only on fresh break→retest (≤ 0.5% each).
- Keep runner small; trail structure.
Balanced Day
- VWAP magnet; fade edges back to mean.
- Harvest TP1s; limit runners.
- Wait for clear acceptance shift to change plan.
Reversal Day
- Failure at HTF level → reclaim across VWAP/OR.
- Stops tight; trail aggressively on flip.
- Reduce size into red-news windows.
Risk & Position Sizing (~0.5%)
Account Balance = B Risk per setup = r (0.5% → 0.005) Stop distance (cash per contract) = S Position size (contracts) = (B × r) / S
Always size from stop distance so risk stays constant as volatility changes.
Management Rules
- TP1 mandatory at first trouble area → move SL to breakeven.
- TP2 at measured move / HTF level.
- Runner small unless trend day confirms.
- No averaging down; adds require fresh acceptance + retest.
VWAP
Break→Retest
TP1/TP2/Runner
1.5% daily stop
2-Minute Micro-Journal (US30)
Session (GMT): Pre-Mkt / NY Open / Power Hour Acceptance: Above/Below VWAP-OR? __________ Trigger: HL (long) / LH (short) at __________ Size: ~0.5% risk from stop distance S = __________ TP1 @ FTA → SL→BE | TP2 @ __________ | Runner: VWAP / HL-LH trail Daily DD used: _______% / 1.5% | Deviation from plan? __________
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US30 动能框架(2025):华尔街偏向系统
用 开盘区间(OR)+ VWAP 接受、突破→回测入场,以及 TP1 / TP2 / Runner 出场,来交易道琼斯(US30)。每笔风险约 0.5%,每日最大回撤约 1.5%。时间以 GMT 计。
时段结构(GMT)
- 盘前 11:00–13:29: 确定计划:期指基调、板块轮动、美元指数/美债收益率。
- 纽市开盘 13:30–13:45: 开盘驱动/扫流动性;避免追第一根。
- 价格发现 13:45–15:30: 首选 接受后 的 突破→回测 与 VWAP/OR 共振。
- 尾盘力量 20:00–21:00: 轮动与了结;缩小仓位、紧跟踪 Runner。
触发逻辑(突破→回测)
- 价值锚定: 绘制当日 VWAP + OR,标记前一日高低点。
- 确认接受: K 线实体在 VWAP/OR 边界上/下方收盘并站稳。
- 回测: 回抽至被突破的价位或 VWAP 带;出现影线拒绝与顺势实体收盘。
- 入场: 回测上的 HL(多)/ LH(空);止损放在结构之外(而非固定点数)。
信号模板(示例)
US30 多单:OR 高点被接受且 VWAP 承托 → 回测买入;
TP1:前一段冲高;TP2:更高周期关键位;Runner:沿 HL / VWAP 跟踪。
US30 空单:高位失败,回到 OR/VWAP 下方 → 回测卖出;
TP1:OR 中位;TP2:OR 低/更高周期需求;Runner:沿 LH / VWAP 跟踪。
以上仅为教学示意,实时入场/价位以 FXPremiere 频道发布为准。
日型
- 趋势日: VWAP 承托趋势;新 突破→回测才可加仓(每次 ≤ 0.5% 风险);Runner 小仓跟随结构。
- 均衡日: VWAP 具磁性;在区间边缘反向做回归均值;偏重 TP1,少留 Runner。
- 反转日: 更高周期位失败 → 穿越 VWAP/OR 回归;止损更紧,翻转后积极跟踪;红色数据窗口需降仓。
风险与仓位(约 0.5%)
账户余额 = B 单笔风险 = r(0.5% → 0.005) 止损距离(每份合约的现金风险)= S 仓位(合约数)= (B × r) / S
以止损距离算仓位,让风险在波动变化时保持恒定。
管理规则
- TP1 必拿(第一障碍位)→ 止损移至保本。
- TP2 在测量目标/更高周期关键位。
- Runner 仅留小仓,除非趋势日确认。
- 绝不加仓补亏;只有出现新的 接受 + 回测才可加仓。
2 分钟微日志(US30)
时段(GMT):盘前 / 纽市开盘 / 尾盘 接受:在 VWAP-OR 上/下方? __________ 触发:HL(多)/ LH(空) 于 __________ 仓位:按止损距离计算 ~0.5% 风险,S = __________ TP1 @ 第一障碍 → SL→保本 | TP2 @ __________ | Runner:VWAP / HL-LH 跟踪 当日已用回撤:______% / 1.5% | 有无偏离计划? __________
US30 動能框架(2025):華爾街偏向系統
以 開盤區間(OR)+ VWAP 接受、突破→回測入場,以及 TP1 / TP2 / Runner 出場,來交易道瓊(US30)。每筆風險約 0.5%,單日最大回撤約 1.5%。時間以 GMT 計。
時段結構(GMT)
- 盤前 11:00–13:29: 擬定計畫:期指基調、板塊輪動、美元指數/美債殖利率。
- 紐市開盤 13:30–13:45: 開盤推動/掃流動性;避免追第一根。
- 價格發現 13:45–15:30: 優先 接受後 的 突破→回測,結合 VWAP/OR。
- 尾盤力量 20:00–21:00: 輪動與了結;縮小部位、緊跟 Runner。
觸發邏輯(突破→回測)
- 價值錨定: 繪製當日 VWAP + OR,標示前一日高低。
- 確認接受: K 線實體在 VWAP/OR 邊界上/下方收盤並站穩。
- 回測: 回抽至被突破價位或 VWAP 帶;觀察影線拒絕與順勢實體收盤。
- 進場: 回測上的 HL(多)/ LH(空);停損放在結構之外(非固定點數)。
訊號範本(示例)
US30 多單: OR 高點被接受且 VWAP 承托 → 回測買入;TP1:前一段高點;TP2:更高週期位;Runner:沿 HL / VWAP 追蹤。
US30 空單: 高位失敗,回到 OR/VWAP 下方 → 回測賣出;TP1:OR 中位;TP2:OR 低/更高週期需求;Runner:沿 LH / VWAP 追蹤。
以上僅供教學示意,實盤入場/價位以 FXPremiere 頻道發布為準。
日型
- 趨勢日: VWAP 承托趨勢;新 突破→回測方可加碼(每次 ≤ 0.5% 風險);Runner 小倉隨結構。
- 均衡日: VWAP 具磁性;在區間邊緣反向做回歸均值;著重 TP1,少留 Runner。
- 反轉日: 更高週期位失敗 → 穿越 VWAP/OR 翻轉;停損較緊,翻轉後積極追蹤;紅色數據時段降碼。
風險與部位(約 0.5%)
帳戶餘額 = B 單筆風險 = r(0.5% → 0.005) 停損距離(每口合約的現金風險)= S 部位(合約數)= (B × r) / S
以停損距離計算部位,確保在波動改變時,風險仍維持恒定。
管理規則
- TP1 必拿(第一阻力/支撐)→ 停損移至保本。
- TP2 於測量目標/更高週期位。
- Runner 小倉保存,除非趨勢日確認。
- 嚴禁攤平;僅在出現新的 接受 + 回測時加碼。
2 分鐘微日誌(US30)
時段(GMT):盤前 / 紐市開盤 / 尾盤 接受:在 VWAP-OR 上/下方? __________ 觸發:HL(多)/ LH(空) 於 __________ 部位:依停損距離計算 ~0.5% 風險,S = __________ TP1 @ 第一障礙 → SL→保本 | TP2 @ __________ | Runner:VWAP / HL-LH 追蹤 單日已用回撤:______% / 1.5% | 是否偏離計畫? __________
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